How to make accurate goals predictions for today?
Since the betting industry went online there has been a huge growth in all aspects and areas. In sports betting, soccer/football takes the largest market and it is quite popular for goals predictions for today. It relates to betting on the number of total goals in a specific match. Betting on goals in football simply doesn’t rely on one side winning so your bet won’t necessarily lose if a team has an off-day.
The most popular goals predictions are bets with over or under 2.5 goals. This is the most common option for the simple reason that it lies close to the average number of goals per game. In most popular football leagues, odds for either over or under 2.5 goals are generally around evens, giving a decent return on your investment.
While you can also bet on the exact number of goals scored in a football match, we will focus here on the over/under markets, stats and strategies. In a nutshell, everything you need to start making accurate goals predictions for today.
Advantages of the betting on total goals
The main advantage of betting on the Over/Under goal markets in soccer is mainly related to the fact that there are only two possible outcomes. Most of all, both outcomes are usually assessed as being reasonably equally likely to occur. This has the appealing characteristics that long losing runs are much less likely than with other forms of betting. Furthermore, this means that the variability in the profit/loss from one season to the next is potentially much lower. Therefore, it offers a lower risk betting investment alternative. However, the overall rate of return is lower as a result. In addition, the over-round on Asian markets is often lower than all other betting markets in soccer.
Factors to be considered in betting on goals
Any soccer team tends to score as more as possible goals in the match in order to win. For the top-performing teams, we can say that they are good at scoring goals while keeping a clean sheet. On the other hand, for the bottom-league teams, is quite opposite. They are poor at scoring goals and at defending also. If two teams which are good at scoring goals, and mediocre in defending is to play each other, it would be a fair assumption to say that there is a good chance for a lot of goals in the match. Therefore, we advise you that in a number of different approaches investigate the correlation between a soccer teams history results and the probability distribution for the number of goals in a given soccer match.
Teams’ form is perhaps the most crucial thing to consider when picking your over/under football bets. Always check form of the two teams in their last 6 games and look for the latest team updates and news.
The relative quality of the teams also has a big effect on the number of goals, with fewer goals often being scored when sides are evenly matched. With a heavy favourite on one side, a few goals should be seen on the match.
Being aware of the manager’s tactics will give you a good insight into whether backing over or under is the way to go. We all have witnessed some of the most popular tactics: Tiki-taka, “park the bus” and etc.
Getting early news of whether a key player has been ruled out due to injury, or has returned to fitness quicker than expected, can affect whether or not the odds you get for over/under a particular number of goals is good value.
Teams often seem to have a bit of a hangover from playing away in Europe a couple of days before the weekend fixture, and this can often result in a less energetic performance.
Sometimes, one team is extra motivated or need to score many goals to cover the 1st leg result. Also, teams playing friendly matches aren’t motivated and they usually rotate formation trying new tactics. Such games are hard to predict.
The tradition and previous matches between two sides are important factors for making goals predictions. Always analyze the history of the big rivals playing city derby in the league. Also, teams from different countries have a tradition of meeting each other in International competitions.
Weather, Time & Turf
Many matches were played in harsh weather conditions in rain, wind or snow. Of course, this affects match a lot. Furthermore, playing in different time zone or on the artificial grass might be awkward for the teams that didn’t get used to it.
Over/Under Goals Betting Strategy
Implementing the aforementioned factors into your goals predictions for today is a way to success. Of course, you are always going to need a bit of luck as well. Just as when you are betting on both teams to score in a given football match – or just about betting on anything, in football or any other sport – doing your research is the key to finding a good value bet, and thus maximising your chances of making a profit. As we already learnt, there are lots of factors affecting whether a match is likely to produce a lot of goals, and getting a handle on these stats is certainly worthwhile if you are planning to bet on total goals. If you continue to seek out and back the value bets, there is every chance you will make a steady profit from over/under betting.
Our Successful Betting Model
The examination of soccer result and odds data leads to the establishment of a model for assessing the probability of the number of goals scored in a soccer game. Our model uses historical match result data as a foundation of further analysis. Combining artificial intelligence betting tips and analytic skills of our tipsters we have established a successful model. This method semi-automatizes the assessment of the number of goals in a soccer game and make accurate goals predictions.
After all, using this model, our team has developed a unique strategy that brings profit. Knowing that industry rests on the conflicting interest of bookmakers and bettors, we constantly evolve by testing new models. As a result, goals predictions delivered by our team have made us a good return with 6% overall ROI so far.